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Trading the Forex market has
became very popular in the last few years. But how difficult is it to
achieve success in the Forex trading arena? Or let me rephrase this
question, how many traders achieve consistent profitable results trading
the Forex market? Unfortunately very few, only 5% of traders achieve
this goal. One of the main reasons of this is because Forex traders
focus in the wrong information to make their trading decisions and
totally forget about the most important factor: Price behavior.
Most Forex trading systems are made off technical indicators (a moving
average (MA) crossover, overbought/oversold conditions in an oscillator,
etc.) But what are technical indicators? They are just a series of data
points plotted in a chart; these points are derived from a mathematical
formula applied to the price of any given currency pair. In other words,
it is a chart of price plotted in a different way that helps us see
other aspects of price.
There is an important implication on this definition of technical
indicators. The fact that the readings obtained from them are based on
price action. Take for instance a long MA crossover signal, the price
has gone up enough to make the short period MA crossover the long period
MA generating a long signal. Most traders see it as "the MA crossover
made the price go up," but it happened the other way around, the MA
crossover signal occurred because the price went up. Where I'm trying to
get here is that at the end, price behavior dictates how an indicator
will act, and this should be taken into consideration on any trading
decision made.
Trading decisions based on technical indicators without taking price
action into consideration will give us less accurate results. For
example, again a long signal generated by a MA crossover as the market
approaches an important resistance level. If the price suddenly starts
to bounce back off that important level there is no point on taking this
signal, price action is telling us the market doesn't want to go up.
Most of the time, under this circumstances, the market will continue to
fall down, disregarding the MA crossover.
Don't get me wrong here, technical indicators are a very important
aspect of trading. They help us see certain conditions that are
otherwise difficult to see by watching pure price action. But when it
comes to pull the trigger, price action incorporation into our Forex
trading system will definitely put the odds in our favor, it will
generate higher probability trades.
So, how to create a perfect Forex trading system?
First of all, you need to make sure your trading system fits your
trading personality; otherwise you will find it hard to follow it. Every
trader has different needs and goals, thus there is no system that
perfectly fits all traders. You need to make your own research on
various trading styles and technical indicators until you find a concept
that perfectly works for you. Make sure you know the nature of whatever
technical indicator used.
Secondly, incorporate price action into your system. So you only take
long signals if the price behavior tells you the market wants to go up,
and short signals if the market gives you indication that it will go
down.
Third, and most importantly, you need to have the discipline to follow
your Forex trading system rigorously. Try it first on a demo account,
then move on to a small account and finally when feeling comfortably and
being consistent profitable apply your system in a regular account.
Copyright Raul Lopez -
http//:www.straightforex.com
Hotlib.com - Huge
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